Market Review as of 3/31/2016

The U.S. municipal bond market (as represented by the Barclays Municipal Bond Index1) continued to advance in the first quarter, surpassing the returns of other notable asset classes during the period. With respect to issuance during the quarter, total issuance slightly lagged that of the first quarter of the prior year. While refunding issues exceeded new capital issuance during the period, refunding issues fell short of expectations, despite the continued low interest rate environment.

Investor demand for municipal bonds remained strong, as these bonds posted attractive returns on a relative basis. Consequently, municipal fund flows, based on information from Lipper U.S. fund flows, exceeded $14 billion at the end of the quarter. Longer maturity municipal bonds outperformed shorter maturity municipal bonds, however, municipal bonds generally underperformed Treasuries of similar maturities across the yield curve, as yield ratios increased during the period.

Lower quality bonds generally outperformed higher quality bonds during the first quarter, due to the incremental yield available in such credits. The high yield municipal market outperformed investment grade municipals, and with the exception of a few issuers, overall municipal credit quality remained stable in an economic environment marked by steady, albeit slow growth and low inflation.

High-profile issuers, such as Illinois, Puerto Rico, and New Jersey, continued to remain in the spotlight during the past quarter, as struggles over pension issues and the political constraints caused by budget balancing activities endured. Despite isolated pockets of distress, overall creditworthiness continues to improve, as most states’ finances experienced rising revenues, while maintaining balanced budgets. At the federal level, there was no new legislation that had a material impact on the municipal market.

Fund Review as of 3/31/2016

The Fund returned 1.60%, reflecting performance at the net asset value (NAV) of Class A shares, with all distributions reinvested, for the three-month period ended March 31, 2016. The Barclays 1-15 Year Municipal Bond Index,2 returned 1.46% in the same period. The Fund’s average annual total returns, which reflect performance at the maximum 2.25% sales charge applicable to Class A share investments and include the reinvestment of all distributions, as of March 31, 2016, are: one year: 1.01%; five years: 4.61%; and 10 years: 4.58%. Expense ratio: gross: 0.71%, and net: 0.71%.     

Performance data quoted represent past performance, which does not guarantee future results. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance data quoted. The investment return and principal value of an investment in the Fund will fluctuate so that shares, on any given day or when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. You can obtain performance data current to the most recent month-end by calling Lord Abbett at 888-522-2388 or visiting us at www.lordabbett.com.

The strongest drivers of outperformance were the Fund’s overweight to tobacco bonds and bonds rated ‘BBB’ and lower. While yields across the curve declined during the quarter, bonds with maturities greater than 8 years generally outperformed, as strong investor demand for incremental yield persisted during the period and positively impacted longer bonds. Consequently, bonds with maturities shorter than 6 years underperformed due to their shorter duration profiles and already low yields. Our modest exposure to lower rated bonds, particularly below investment-grade rated bonds aided performance, given the demand for yield. ‘AAA’ rated bonds underperformed, as these bonds did not participate in the demand for incremental yield. With regard to sectors, tobacco and prepaid gas bonds outperformed, as both sectors offered attractive yields with strong credit fundamentals. In addition, tobacco bonds benefited from increased consumption statistics, during the period. State and local general obligation bonds underperformed, as the performance of these sectors was heavily driven by a few larger credits.

Please refer to www.lordabbett.com under the “Portfolio” tab for a complete list of holdings of the Fund, including the securities discussed above.

Outlook 

During the fourth quarter, amid global market volatility, municipal investors experienced strong performance when compared to many other asset classes. Demand picked up significantly in the fourth quarter, a reversal from the trend seen in prior quarters, as the combination of solid relative performance and a low-rate environment turned more attention toward municipal debt. Demand for municipals is likely to continue, as municipal yields continue to provide investors with compelling taxable-equivalent income, and default rates remain low, while overall creditworthiness continues to improve. Although supply in 2015 persisted at a relatively high level, compared with last year’s pace, new-issue supply slowed throughout the fourth quarter. It is likely that new-issue supply will revert to higher levels in the short-term, as issuers become more confident in financing bonds for infrastructure needs. 

While yield ratios of municipals to Treasuries are lower when compared with those of recent years, due primarily to recent outperformance across most maturities, it is likely that municipals will continue to outperform, given strong demand and positive credit characteristics of the market amid a low interest-rate environment. While lower-rated bonds have posted strong returns in past years, credit-quality trends suggest that lower-quality bonds could outperform in the quarters to come, as demand for incremental yield in a low interest-rate environment and steady economic growth amid low inflation have supported credit quality of municipal issuers. While the high-yield municipal market averted the pressures of the taxable high-yield market, the impact of activity in other markets in the future is expected to be followed closely. It is likely that longer maturities also will continue to outperform, given that the Federal Reserve increased short-term rates and, consequently, long-term rates are unlikely to see as much pressure as longer bonds may provide a significant income advantage to investors.

Many states have experienced rising revenues, with the exception of those states that are heavily dependent upon energy. Although a few high-profile issuers, such as New Jersey and Illinois, are hampered by challenges, including pension reform and funding of pension liabilities, which increases the likelihood of possible downgrades, it is important to focus on overall creditworthiness, which is expected to remain strong. States reliant upon the financial services industry will likely be monitored for negative trends in the upcoming months; however, with respect to the financial health at the state level, it is important to distinguish between the isolated challenges and the strong overall health of states.  While the dynamic of the municipal bond market has changed considerably over the past few years, municipal bonds overall have continued to offer the combination of a high credit-quality profile and strong tax-equivalent returns to investors. 

Contact a Representative