CHART OF THE WEEK: Convertible Bonds: Accessing Growth Companies in Fixed-Income
THE WEEK IN REVIEW
Strong economic data and indications of a moderate rise in inflation did not deter credit markets from moving higher last week. Risk assets advanced on lower yields with the 10-Year U.S. Treasury yield closing the week at 1.58%. CMBS (commercial mortgage-backed securities), MBS (mortgage-backed securities), and ABS (asset-backed securities) spreads tightened while investment-grade corporate and high yield bond spreads were flat to slightly wider. The optimistic outlook over the brisk pace of the economic recovery was met with the view that the normalization in inflation may only modestly overshoot the Fed’s (Federal Reserve) 2% inflation target. Equity markets reached new highs on both the positive news on growth as well as lower bond yields.
While convertible bonds (converts) are often used to gain equity exposure with bond protection on the downside, another use case is to diversify fixed-income exposures by including bond issues from growth companies. 2020 converts issues were a mix of distressed consumer and leisure-related companies and more traditional converts issuers that skew to the growth end of the spectrum. This year, those growth companies have dominated issuance. At over $58 billion in new issue on the quarter, there is a wealth of supply to choose from in many sectors as shown in the chart on the left. On the right, we see that this year's batch of converts issues is comprised of more newly public companies than ever before. Fixed-income investors are often concentrated in value-oriented, cyclical sectors that are at risk of disruption from these dynamic growth companies. Diversifying fixed-income exposure to include converts issues from innovative young companies can help mitigate that style concentration risk in the rest of fixed-income portfolios.
THE WEEK AHEAD
Tuesday
U.S. Redbook
Wednesday
EIA Petroleum Status Report
Thursday
Jobless Claims
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Existing Home Sales
Friday
PMI Composite
New Home Sales
Index Returns
1 Week | YTD | 1-YR | 3-YR | 5-YR |
---|
U.S. Aggregate | 0.35 | -2.56 | -0.22 | 5.02 | 3.19 |
IG Corporates | 0.41 | -3.36 | 4.43 | 6.35 | 4.73 |
HY Corporates | 0.23 | 1.87 | 18.83 | 6.38 | 7.69 |
Bank Loans | 0.04 | 2.43 | 16.13 | 4.16 | 5.23 |
IG Corporates 1-3 Year | 0.02 | 0.14 | 4.04 | 3.86 | 2.82 |
Global Aggregate | 0.58 | -3.25 | 4.97 | 3.24 | 2.78 |
TREASURY RATES
Latest | 1-YR Low | 1-YR High | 1-WK Change | YTD Change | 1-YR Change |
---|
2 Year | 0.16 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
5 Year | 0.83 | 0.19 | 0.94 | -3 | 47 | 44 |
10 Year | 1.58 | 0.51 | 1.75 | -8 | 67 | 90 |
30 Year | 2.26 | 1.16 | 2.46 | -6 | 62 | 99 |
CREDIT SPREADS
Latest | 1-YR Low | 1-YR High | 1-WK Change | YTD Change | 1-YR Change |
---|
IG Corporates | 89 | 88 | 214 | 0 | -7 | -121 |
HY Corporates | 293 | 290 | 775 | 1 | -67 | -436 |
EM Aggregate | 276 | 263 | 655 | 0 | -5 | -344 |
CMBS | 65 | 65 | 176 | -3 | -16 | -108 |
MBS | 8 | 7 | 75 | -3 | -31 | -48 |
ABS | 32 | 26 | 180 | -2 | -1 | -148 |
Other Indicators
Latest | 1-WK Change | YTD Change | 1-YR Change |
---|
S&P GSCI | 488.72 | 17.57 | 79.27 | 218.07 |
Crude Oil - WTI ($) | 63.13 | 3.81 | 14.61 | 43.26 |
5-Yr Breakeven Inflation Rate (%) | 2.62 | 0.05 | 0.66 | 1.93 |
headingView Disclosure
All data as of 04/16/2021, unless otherwise noted.
Chart of the Week
Source: BofA Securities Convertibles Chartbook. Data as of 3/31/2021. The historical data shown are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent any specific portfolio managed by Lord Abbett or any particular investment.
Source: Morningstar Direct. Returns shown are total returns for Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate Bond Index, ICE BofAML U.S. High Yield Master II Constrained Index, Credit Suisse Leveraged Loan Index, ICE BofAML U.S. Corporate 1-3 Year Index, and Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index.
Treasury Rates
Source: Bloomberg Barclays. Treasuries are debt securities issued by the U.S. government and secured by its full faith and credit. Income from Treasury securities is exempt from state and local taxes.
Credit Spreads
Source: Bloomberg. Credit spreads shown are for Bloomberg Barclays US Agg Corporate Avg OAS, Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Avg OAS, Bloomberg Barclays EM USD Aggregate Avg OAS, Bloomberg Barclays US Agg CMBS Avg OAS, Bloomberg Barclays US MBS Fixed Rate Avg OAS, and Bloomberg Barclays US Agg ABS Avg OAS.
Spread is the percentage difference in current yields of various classes of fixed-income securities versus Treasury bonds or another benchmark bond measure. A bond spread is often expressed as a difference in percentage points or basis points (which equal one-one hundredth of a percentage point). The option-adjusted spread (OAS) is the measurement of the spread of a fixed-income security rate and the risk-free rate of return (typically that of U.S. Treasury securities), which is adjusted to take into account an embedded option. The spread is added to the fixed-income security price to make the risk-free bond price the same as the bond.
Other Indicators
Source: Bloomberg Barclays. The S&P GSCI® is recognized as a leading measure of general price movements and inflation in the world economy. The index representing market beta is world production
weighted. It is designed to be investable by including the most liquid commodity futures, and provides diversification with low correlations to other asset classes.
The breakeven inflation rate represents a measure of expected inflation derived from 5-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities and 5-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities. The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 5 years, on average.
A bond yield is the amount of return an investor will realize on a bond. Though several types of bond yields can be calculated, nominal yield is the most common. This is calculated by dividing the amount of interest paid by the face value. Yield to maturity is the rate of return anticipated on a bond if held until it matures.
A yield curve is a line that plots the interest rates, at a set point in time, of bonds having equal credit quality but differing maturity dates.
Basis point is a financial unit of measurement that is 1/100th of 1%.
Mortgage-backed Security (MBS) is a type of asset-backed security which is secured by a mortgage or collection of mortgages. The mortgages are aggregated and sold to a group of individuals that securitizes, or packages, the loans together into a security that investors can buy.
Asset-backed Security (ABS) is a financial security backed by a loan, lease or receivables against assets other than real estate and mortgage-backed securities. For investors, asset-backed securities are an alternative to investing in corporate debt.
Commercial Mortgage Backed Security (CMBS) is a type of mortgage-backed security that is secured by the loan on a commercial property. A CMBS can provide liquidity to real estate investors and to commercial lenders. As with other types of MBS, the increased use of CMBS can be attributable to the rapid rise in real estate prices over the years.
ICE BofA Index Information:
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Bloomberg Barclays Index Information:
Source: Bloomberg Index Services Limited. BLOOMBERG® is a trademark and service mark of Bloomberg Finance L.P. and its affiliates (collectively “Bloomberg”). BARCLAYS® is a trademark and service mark of Barclays Bank Plc (collectively with its affiliates, “Barclays”), used under license. Bloomberg or Bloomberg’s licensors, including Barclays, own all proprietary rights in the Bloomberg Barclays Indices. Neither Bloomberg nor Barclays approves or endorses this material, or guarantees the accuracy or completeness of any information herein, or makes any warranty, express or implied, as to the results to be obtained therefrom and, to the maximum extent allowed by law, neither shall have any liability or responsibility for injury or damages arising in connection therewith.
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